Comments on: Google Predicts Super Tuesday Results

By: Jason

Jason — Wed, 26 Mar 2008 14:15:56 +0000

The reason for the skewed RON PAUL results is the fact that his name is a recent internet meme and is used to replace general greetings: -

http://www.encyclopediadramatica.com/Ron_Paul

By: Dave Bascom

Dave Bascom — Wed, 13 Feb 2008 02:08:37 +0000

@ mickey – if I’m reading that Google chart right, Huckabee lost his top spot in the search volume around Mid-January. I’m sure Huck does much better in certain states, though.

By: mickey

mickey — Tue, 12 Feb 2008 06:41:07 +0000

But you forgot about Huckabee:
http://www.google.com/trends?q=mccain%2Cromney%2Chuckabee&ctab=0&geo=US&geor=all&date=ytd&sort=0
seems Huckabee ranked consistently higher than both McCain and Romney since November.

By: Dave Bascom

Dave Bascom — Sun, 10 Feb 2008 06:45:17 +0000

@teddie and neil – it’s interesting that although McCain won the Arizona primary as expected, Romney put up a very strong showing in that state (34% compared to McCain’s 48%).

Also, if you look at the current Google trends data from Teddie’s link, it shows McCain pulled ahead of Romney in Google Trends as well. The data was just a few days behind so when Nelson and Adam did their research it was showing Romney ahead, but McCain surged ahead since the data was originally compiled.

I’m looking forward to the follow up post that will explain the results and compare with updated data to see if there are other states that saw a similar surge in searches for the eventual winner.

By: teddie

teddie — Thu, 07 Feb 2008 21:16:20 +0000

@ Nelson looks like you were wrong and I was right about Arizona

ps. if you are going to delete sensible comments don’t bother having an option to leave them.

By: Teddie

Teddie — Wed, 06 Feb 2008 19:15:40 +0000

@RonGuy Interesting, but look closer at the lower graph and you will see that Ron Paul is getting little to no actual press coverage and that is what will be having a very influential affect on voters.

@neil Don’t sweat Mccain will win Arizona he has the steepest rising trend:
http://www.google.com/trends?q=clinton%2Cobama%2Cromney%2C+mccain&ctab=0&geo=US&geor=usa.az&date=ytd&sort=0

By: Nelson

Nelson — Wed, 06 Feb 2008 15:25:18 +0000

I absolutely agree with that. However, we wanted to see if there was any correlation between the two. Come to find out, Google Trends was still 72% right which is better than some polling out there.

By: Syam1224

Syam1224 — Wed, 06 Feb 2008 10:01:24 +0000

I think search traffic means , number of people who wants to know abt Obama rather than those who want Obama ….

By: nelson

nelson — Tue, 05 Feb 2008 23:19:26 +0000

That’s an interesting thought. The problem is, Clinton has spent the most so far in the Democratic party, and Romney has spent the most in the Republican Party. That’s total money spent though, not just on advertising or PR.

By: Google Sucks

Google Sucks — Tue, 05 Feb 2008 22:33:58 +0000

Great find. What is even more interesting are the lines below which follow the news and media about that name. Notice that the ordering is similar, does this imply that the more money you have and the more PR you get the better your election outcome will be?